Μελλοντικές εκτιμήσεις της αλλαγής της Θερμοκασίας στην Κρήτη μέχρι το τέλος του 21ου αιώνα με τη χρήση ενός δυναμικού κλιματικού μοντέλου

Περίληψη

In this paper an attempt is made to assess the likely future changes in average temperature in the region of the island of Crete and especially in the meteorological stations of Ierapetra, Chania and Heraklion. Initially the facts of the daily measurements of temperature are used, as these were recorded at stations during the period 1958-2000. More specifically, an analysis is made of these data on an annual, seasonal and monthly basis through the creation of tables and diagrams with the help of program Excel. Then, making use of diurnal data grid points of  meteorological stations for the same period that were channeled by the dynamic model KNMI-RACMO2. Follows the factual comparison of the average temperature data of the corresponding grid points in order to check the reliability of the model. Finally, the diurnal data of the grid points of the meteorological stations are compared for the periods 1961-1990, which is also the reference period of the study, and the future periods 2021-2050 and 2071-2100.