[Εξώφυλλο]

Strong ground motion simulation in the Central Ionian Islands using a hybrid (deterministic and stochastic) approach = Υπολογισμός εδαφικής κίνησης στην περιοχή των Κεντρικών Ιονίων Νήσων με εφαρμογή υβριδικής (αιτιοκρατικής και στοχαστικής) μεθοδολογίας.

Pavlos Konsstantinos Bonatis

Περίληψη


The current thesis concerns multiple concepts of engineering seismology that are taken into account in order to perform a complete Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for the Central Ionian Islands as well as an accurate estimation of strong ground motion for the two strongest earthquakes that occurred in the region during the past few years. In the first chapter, the seismotectonic characteristics of the study area are introduced along with the historical and instrumental seismicity data. In the second chapter, the basic principles and the methodology used for the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment are described, whereas, in the third chapter, the results are presented in terms of seismic hazard maps. The fourth chapter introduces a series of concepts regarding the simulation of strong ground motion. The two case studies are presented along with the simulation parameters used in the computations. The fifth chapter contains the broadband ground motion simulation results. A validation of the resulting simulations is attempted and then the final synthetic spectra and waveforms are provided. In the final chapter, the most critical conclusions are summarized. Limitations, potential implications and future perspectives are also discussed.

    Η παρούσα διπλωματική εργασία διαπραγματεύεται ποικίλες έννοιες της Τεχνικής Σεισμολογίας οι οποίες λαμβάνονται υπόψη με σκοπό την εκπόνηση μίας πλήρους Πιθανολογικής Εκτίμησης της Σεισμικής Επικινδυνότητας για την περιοχή των Κεντρικών Ιονίων Νήσων καθώς επίσης και την προσομοίωση της ισχυρής εδαφικής κίνησης για τους δύο ισχυρότερους σεισμούς που έλαβαν χώρα στην περιοχή μελέτης την τελευταία δεκαετία. Στο πρώτο κεφάλαιο παρουσιάζονται τα σεισμοτεκτονικά χαρακτηριστικά της περιοχής μελέτης όπως επίσης τα δεδομένα ιστορικής και ενόργανης σεισμικότητας. Στο δεύτερο κεφάλαιο περιγράφονται οι βασικές αρχές και η μεθοδολογία που εφαρμόστηκε για την Πιθανολογική Εκτίμηση της Σεισμικής Επικινδυνότητας, ενώ στο τρίτο κεφάλαιο παρουσιάζονται τα αποτελέσματα υπό το πρίσμα χαρτών σεισμικής επικινδυνότητας. Στο τέταρτο κεφάλαιο εισάγεται μία σειρά από έννοιες που συνδέονται την προσομοίωση της ισχυρής εδαφικής κίνησης. Τα δύο επιλεγμένα σενάρια σεισμών παρουσιάζονται μαζί με τις παραμέτρους που χρησιμοποιήθηκαν για τις προσομοιώσεις. Το πέμπτο κεφάλαιο περιέχει τα αποτελέσματα από τις υβριδικές προσομοιώσεις ευρέος φάσματος. Επιπλέον, επιχειρείται επαλήθευση των αποτελεσμάτων με τις διαθέσιμες καταγραφές της ισχυρής εδαφικής κίνησης. Στο τελευταίο κεφάλαιο καταγράφονται τα κύρια συμπεράσματα που προέκυψαν από την παρούσα εργασία, πιθανοί περιορισμοί και μελλοντικές προοπτικές της μελέτης.

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